Waiting for King

With three counties yet to declare recount totals, Dino Rossi the Republican candidate for Governor in the state of Washington has seen his lead increase from 261 to 316. However King County accounted for over half a million Democrat votes in the first count, so it's too early for the GOP to start celebrating. It would take an abnormally high number of extra votes in King County to be attributed to Christine Gregoire, the Democrat candidate, for the result to be overturned at this stage. Assuming no abnormal behaviour in King County, there should be no more than 700 extra votes allocated. The Democrats would need about 80% of these votes to win. This would be extraordinary: in no other county where more than 20 votes have been added, have the extra votes broken down more than 3 to 1 in either main candidate's favour.

The table below shows the latest available update on the recount.

County	Change from first count
Adams	Dem +12	Rep +27	Lib +2
Asotin	Dem +1	Rep -1	Lib n/c
Benton	Dem +1	Rep +2	Lib -1
Chelan	Dem +3	Rep +1	Lib n/c
Clallam	Dem +1	Rep +1	Lib n/c
Clark	Dem +3	Rep +7	Lib n/c
Columbia	Dem -1	Rep n/c	Lib n/c
Cowlitz	Dem -29	Rep -40	Lib n/c
Douglas	Dem +2	Rep +4	Lib +1
Ferry	Dem +3	Rep +2	Lib n/c
Franklin	Dem -1	Rep +1	Lib +1
Garfield	Dem +1	Rep +1	Lib n/c
Grant	Dem +26	Rep +44	Lib +1
Grays Harbor	Dem +6	Rep +5	Lib n/c
Island	Dem n/c	Rep +5	Lib n/c
Jefferson	Dem +1	Rep -4	Lib +1
King
Kitsap
Kittitas	Dem +19	Rep +25	Lib +2
Klickitat	Dem n/c	Rep +1	Lib n/c
Lewis	Dem +2	Rep +4	Lib n/c
Mason	Dem +1	Rep +2	Lib +1
Okanogan	Dem +1	Rep -1	Lib n/c
Pacific	Dem +1	Rep n/c	Lib n/c
Pend Oreille	Dem +6	Rep +2	Lib n/c
Pierce	Dem +242	Rep +261	Lib +11
San Juan	Dem n/c	Rep -1	Lib +1
Skagit	Dem +71	Rep +89	Lib +7
Skamania	Dem n/c	Rep n/c	Lib n/c
Snohomish	Dem +131	Rep +130	Lib +10
Spokane	Dem +121	Rep +134	Lib +6
Stevens	Dem n/c	Rep n/c	Lib n/c
Thurston	Dem +2	Rep +4	Lib n/c
Wahkiakum	Dem n/c	Rep +1	Lib n/c
Walla Walla	Dem +59	Rep +37	Lib +5
Whatcom	Dem +3	Rep n/c	Lib n/c
Whitman
Yakima	Dem n/c	Rep n/c	Lib n/c
Total	Democrat +690	Republican +745	Libertarian +48

Updates available on this page.