11/23/2004

Still Sleepless in Seattle...

With just over a quarter of the votes recounted, the Washington State recount for the gubernatorial election is showing the Republican lead as effectively increasing by 29 votes. If the other counties show the same broad levels of discrepencies from the original count but we assume they all go the Democrats' way, we cannot expect the Republican lead to be cut by more than between 150 and 200 votes in the remaining counties. Anything more would involve a major surprise.

With a 261 vote provisional lead to overturn, the intial result looks set to stand. A Republican win would give that Party 29 Governors to the Democrats' 21, a net gain of one for the GOP.

The table below shows the latest available update on the recount.


CountyChange from first count
AdamsDem +12Rep +27Lib +2
Asotin
BentonDem +1Rep +2Lib -1
ChelanDem +3Rep +1Lib n/c
ClallamDem +1Rep +1Lib n/c
ClarkDem +3Rep +7Lib n/c
ColumbiaDem -1Rep n/cLib n/c
Cowlitz
DouglasDem +2Rep +4Lib +1
FerryDem +3Rep +2Lib n/c
Franklin
GarfieldDem +1Rep +1Lib n/c
Grant
Grays Harbour
IslandDem n/cRep +5Lib n/c
JeffersonDem +1Rep -4Lib +1
King
Kitsap
KittitasDem +19Rep +25Lib +2
KlickitatDem n/cRep +1Lib n/c
LewisDem +2Rep +4Lib n/c
MasonDem +1Rep +2Lib +1
OkanoganDem +1Rep -1Lib n/c
PacificDem +1Rep n/cLib n/c
Pend OreilleDem +6Rep +2Lib n/c
Pierce
San JuanDem n/cRep -1Lib +1
Skagit
Skamania
Snohomish
Spokane
StevensDem n/cRep n/cLib n/c
ThurstonDem +2Rep +4Lib n/c
WahkiakumDem n/cRep +1Lib n/c
Walla Walla
Whatcom
Whitman
YakimaDem n/cRep n/cLib n/c
TotalDemocrat +60Republican +89Libertarian +7

[figures calculated by me based on these sources: original score and recount]

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